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Geomacro
Global risk · Live

See what's coming.

Real-time intelligence on the events reshaping markets, economies and global risk.

Geomacro turns breaking real-world events into structured risk signals, probabilities, research and market intelligence.

Explore the intelligence without connecting a wallet.

Events → signals → risk → probabilityUpdate time unavailable
  1. EventsBreaking headlines across four pillars
  2. SignalsClassified, deduplicated and scored
  3. RiskA single index from 0 to 100
  4. ProbabilityWhat participants believe next

Global risk index

Regime

Live index

Global Risk Index

A real-time view of global risk across geopolitics, macro, commodities, rare earths and crypto.

Update time unavailable

Live intelligence

What's moving the world

The events currently shaping global risk.

Coming as data lands

Where the market may be wrong

See where observed market probabilities diverge from Geomacro's current view.

EventMarketGeomacroDifference

Loading divergence signals

They appear as market and Geomacro probability data becomes available for the same events.

This surface compares available market consensus with Geomacro's current probability view. Until both sides of that comparison exist for an event, nothing is shown here, and a divergence figure is only meaningful when both numbers are real.

Research preview

Ask Geomacro

Explore the events, risks and signals moving the world.

Answers are grounded in scored events from the Geomacro pipeline. Nothing outside the intelligence store is used.

How it works

From events to decision-ready intelligence

Four stages turn an unstructured headline into a scored, comparable signal.

  1. Step 1

    Real-world signals

    • News wires
    • Official sources
    • Macro categories
    • Onchain activity
  2. Step 2

    Event intelligence

    • Detect
    • Structure
    • Classify
    • Connect
  3. Step 3

    Risk & probability

    • Severity scores
    • Risk index
    • Trends
    • Confidence
  4. Step 4

    Products

    • Research
    • Markets
    • Data

    Alerts are planned.

The wider product

One world. Many decisions.

Intelligence first. Markets are one way to act on it, not the whole product.

Positioning

Built for professional decision-making

A research and risk intelligence platform designed for traders, researchers and institutions.

  • Hedge funds

    Track regime shifts across geopolitics and macro in one score.

  • Asset managers

    Monitor how event risk is trending between reporting cycles.

  • Banks

    Follow escalation paths on the events that move exposure.

  • Corporates

    Watch supply-chain and rare-earth risk as it develops.

  • Researchers

    Work from structured, timestamped event records.

Geomacro is an early-stage platform. These are the decision workflows the product is being built for, not a claim of existing institutional deployments.

Machine-readable

The world's events, structured for machines.

Geomacro is designed to turn real-world events into structured risk and probability data for applications, research and decision systems.

Available today

Every event carries a category, severity score, confidence, timestamps and source attribution, plus its published record where a market exists. The methodology behind those fields is documented.

Planned

Built for future data access and machine-readable intelligence. Programmatic feeds and warehouse delivery are roadmap items, not current capabilities.